2025 NBA picks, March 5 bets from top simulation model

Byadmin

2025 NBA picks, March 5 bets from top simulation model

The Denver Nuggets are set to host the Sacramento Kings in a Western Conference matchup at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Denver is 39-22 overall and 20-9 at home, while Sacramento is 32-28 overall and 17-14 on the road. The Nuggets are coming off a four-game road trip on the East Coast and will be looking to bounce back from a 110-103 loss to the Boston Celtics. The Kings are looking to extend their winning streak to five games after beating the Dallas Mavericks 122-98 on Monday. Nikola Jokic (ankle) and Aaron Gordon (calf) are listed as questionable and will be game time decisions for the Nuggets. Domantas Sabonis (hamstring) is out for Sacramento.

Tipoff at Ball Arena in Denver is at 9 p.m. ET. The Nuggets are favored by 5.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Kings odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 236 points. Before locking in any Nuggets vs. Kings picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Sacramento vs. Denver and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

Nuggets vs. Kings spread: Nuggets -5.5
Nuggets vs. Kings over/under: 236 points
Nuggets vs. Kings money line: Nuggets: -215, Kings: +177
Nuggets vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine
Nuggets vs. Kings streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
TODAY
Sacramento
Denver
+6.5 -108
-6.5 -112
+201
-246
O235.5 -108
U235.5 -112
Click here to get half-off your first month, quarter, or year of sports picks! Start winning now!
Why the Nuggets can cover
The Nuggets wrapped up a tough road trip on Sunday with a 110-103 loss to the defending champion Boston Celtics. Three-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokic finished with 20 points, 14 rebounds, and nine assists. Another player making a difference was Jamal Murray, who went 11-for-20 en route to 26 points along with seven assists and six rebounds.

Jokic is nursing an ankle injury and may be limited on Wednesday. He enters this matchup averaging 28.9 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 10.4 assists per game. A potential X-factor for Denver could be guard Christian Braun. The former Kansas standout is having a breakout year, averaging 15.1 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. See which team to pick here.

fanatics logo rectangle
Bet and Get up to $1000
in No Sweat Bets
CLAIM BONUS
Must be 21+. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VT, VA, WV, or WY only. Void where prohibited. Must apply this promotion in your bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager with odds of – 500 or longer each day for 10 straight days.Your 10 days begin the day you establish your account. Wager must settle as a loss to qualify for Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets will equal the amount of the losing wager(s) (up to $100 in Bonus Bets per day) and expire 7 days from issuance. Bonus bets amounts are non-withdrawable and winnings exclude bonus bet stake. This offer is not available in New York. Add’l Terms apply – see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), (888) 789-7777 or http://ccpg.org (CT), or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), or www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), or morethanagame.nc.gov (NC), or 1800gambler.net (WV). Data & text rates may apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO/IL/KS/KY/MD/OH/MI/NC/PA/TN/VA/VT/WV), (800)-327-5050 or http://gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369) (NY)Must be 21+. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VT, VA, WV, or WY only. Void where prohibited. Must apply this promotion in your bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager with odds of – 500 or longer each day for 10 straight days.Your 10 days begin the day you establish your account. Wager must settle as a loss to qualify for Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets will equal the amount of the losing wager(s) (up to $100 in Bonus Bets per day) and expire 7 days from issuance. Bonus bets amounts are non-withdrawable and winnings exclude bonus bet stake. This offer is not available in New York. Add’l Terms apply – see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), (888) 789-7777 or http://ccpg.org (CT), or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), or www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), or morethanagame.nc.gov (NC), or 1800gambler.net (WV). Data & text rates may apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO/IL/KS/KY/MD/OH/MI/NC/PA/TN/VA/VT/WV), (800)-327-5050 or http://gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369) (NY)Must be 21+. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VT, VA, WV, or WY only. Void where prohibited. Must apply this promotion in your bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager with odds of – 500 or longer each day for 10 straight days.Your 10 days begin the day you establish your account. Wager must settle as a loss to qualify for Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets will equal the amount of the losing wager(s) (up to $100 in Bonus Bets per day) and expire 7 days from issuance. Bonus bets amounts are non-withdrawable and winnings exclude bonus bet stake. This offer is not available in New York. Add’l Terms apply – see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), (888) 789-7777 or http://ccpg.org (CT), or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), or www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), or morethanagame.nc.gov (NC), or 1800gambler.net (WV). Data & text rates may apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO/IL/KS/KY/MD/OH/MI/NC/PA/TN/VA/VT/WV), (800)-327-5050 or http://gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369) (NY)
Why the Kings can cover
Meanwhile, the Kings entered their tilt with the Dallas Mavericks on Monday with three consecutive wins, and they’ll enter their next game with four. They were dominant in their 122-98 victory over Dallas. Zach LaVine led the way, scoring 22 points to go with three rebounds and two assists.

Sacramento has a big hole in its front court, with Domantas Sabonis out with a hamstring injury. Jonas Valanciunas has filled in admirably and is averaging 11.1 points and 7.9 rebounds on the season. DeMar DeRozan is playing at a high level for the Kings, averaging 21.9 points, 3.9 assists, and 3.9 rebounds per game. See which team to pick here.

betmgm logo rectangle
Up to $1500 in bonus bets
if your first bet loses
CLAIM BONUS
21+ only. First Bet Offer for new customers only. Min. first deposit of $10. Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. Bonus bets amount equals lost stake up to $1500. Must be physically located in IN DC, MI, IA, LA, TN, IL, MS, WY, KS, OH, or KY. Void where prohibited. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). Data & text rates may apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA).21+ only. First Bet Offer for new customers only. Min. first deposit of $10. Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. Bonus bets amount equals lost stake up to $1500. Must be physically located in IN DC, MI, IA, LA, TN, IL, MS, WY, KS, OH, or KY. Void where prohibited. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). Data & text rates may apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA).21+ only. First Bet Offer for new customers only. Min. first deposit of $10. Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. Bonus bets amount equals lost stake up to $1500. Must be physically located in IN DC, MI, IA, LA, TN, IL, MS, WY, KS, OH, or KY. Void where prohibited. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). Data & text rates may apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA).
How to make Nuggets vs. Kings picks
The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Kings 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits in over 60% of computer simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Kings, and which side of the spread hits over 0% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-107 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

Where to bet on NBA games
Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on NBA games today, along with the various NBA sportsbook promos they currently offer.

About the author

admin administrator

Leave a Reply